Change in Major Land Cover Categories

Level of Indicator: 6
Type of Indicator: B


Explanation of Indicator
Rapid and large scale growth is changing Florida’s landscape at an alarming rate. Massive changes in land use are altering the pattern of land cover, which may impact the state’s air, water, and natural resources and the quality of life of Florida’s citizens. In the future it will be necessary for the state to closely monitor the progress of land use so as to ensure maintenance of the environmental values associated with the state.

Improvements in satellite technology now provide the ability to almost continuously monitor land cover. High costs of data acquisition and lack of technical capacity, however, have limited the state’s involvement in satellite imagery. Until this use of technology is more feasible, a useful substitute capable of providing trend data on land cover category has been assembled by the Florida Game and Fresh Water Fish Commission from a series of U.S. Forest Service reports. These reports, however, present information on the entire state which cannot be broken down by county. Based on land inventories conducted at six times (1936, 1949, 1959, 1970, 1980, and 1987), estimates for a wide range of land uses and covers are provided. Estimates of the number of hectares of forest, marsh, agriculture and range, and urban and other lands are provided.

Data Characteristics
SOURCE
A summary of the data from the U.S. Forest Service reports can be found in an article by Randy Kautz.1 Mr. Kautz can be contacted at the Florida Game and Fresh Water Fish Commission, 620 South Meridian Street, Tallahassee, Florida 32399-1600, or at (904) 488-6661.

ACQUISITION
The information is available in hard copy at no cost.

COLLECTION
The information is collected statewide at irregular intervals. It has been collected for the years 1936, 1949, 1959, 1970, 1980, and 1987.

Data Limitations
The irregularity of the data collection decreases the utility of the data, and the uncertainty of its future collection may limit its use. Further, definitional differences in land cover may make the comparisons with other land cover data difficult. In spite of the limitations, the data are the best available for long-term measurement of land cover and land use in the state. Because the data cannot be disaggregated by county, at the present time it is not possible to display land cover for just the coastal areas of the state.

Data Analysis
It is important to note that following figures for land area pertain to the entire state of Florida, not just to the coastal counties. The land cover figures display area in millions of hectares; one hectare is equal to 2.471 acres. The data show that between 1936 and 1987, the areas occupied by forest land and marsh land decreased 20.6% and an estimated 55.6%, respectively. During the same period, the area of agriculture and range lands increased 70.2%, and the area of urban and other lands increased an estimated 540.4%.

Change in Major Land Cover Categories (millions of hectares)
Land Cover	     1936	 1949	   1959	    1970      1980	 1987
Forest		     8.4618	8.4683	  7.5676   7.2636    6.9598	6.7223
Marsh		    *2.8214	2.1451	  2.4540   1.4769    1.2295	1.2513
Agriculture & Range  2.4495	2.7261	  3.2860   4.1281    4.3772	4.1682
Urban & Other	    *0.2944	0.4326	  0.7196   1.1585    1.4606	1.8852
Total		    14.0271    14.0271	 14.0271  14.0271   14.0271    14.0271

		* denotes values which were estimated

Recommendations
It is recommended that the data collected from satellite imagery be obtained so that an overlay of data is available for each county to determine changes in land cover. Another recommendation would be to have the land cover survey conducted on a county-by-county basis rather than statewide. If each county surveyed its own land cover every five years and then reported its findings to the Florida Game and Fresh Water Fish Commission, the data could be collected and aggregated to obtain a state total. This would provide for a more accurate assessment of the land cover in each county and provide a good indication of the patterns of development for each county.


1Kautz, Randy. "Trends in Florida Wildlife Habitat 1936-1987." Florida Scientist 56(1), pp. 7-24: 1993.