RISK RANKING


There were several steps to producing the overall list of issues ranked by risks including: 1) developing categorical rankings of human health, ecosystem, and quality-of-life risks; 2) drafting an overall ranking based on specific criteria; 3) seeking pub lic comment on the draft list; and 4) revising the list as necessary based on public comment.

CATEGORICAL RANKING

Prior to establishing the overall ranking of risks, the PAG considered the potential threats in terms of their risks to human health, ecosystems, and quality-of-life. The PAG developed three separate rankings using information provided by three technical workgroups (one for each category of risk), telephone interviews with Ohio environmental professionals, results from numerous public outreach activities, and their own judgment and experience.

To guide their development of three categorical rankings, the PAG developed a set of criteria applicable to the types of risk presented by each category. These criteria, some of which were given greater weight than others, were used to compare and evaluat e potential threats to establish a relative A, B, C ranking. The weight attached to each criteria was derived from responses of Ohioans obtained through the public outreach process, from the recommendations of the professional workgroups, and from the ju dgment and experience of PAG members. The criteria for each category are outlined below.

					Human Health

Greater  	Are there lethal effects when Ohioans are exposed to the potential threat?
weight		Does the potential threat affect future generations?
		Are there non-lethal effects that may be irreversible?
		
Middle		Are the effects from exposure to the potential threat non-lethal?
weight		Are some segments of the population, such as low-income or minorities, at 
			greater risk from exposure than others?
		What is the trend; is the situation improving or getting worse?
	
Lesser		How toxic are the components of the potential threat? 
weight


					Ecosystems

Greater		Are there lethal effects on ecosystem components?
weight		Are future generations affected?
		Are sensitive, rare, threatened, or endangered species affected?
		Are there non-lethal effects that may be irreversible?

Middle		What is the impact on the diversity of species?
weight		Are there reversible non-lethal effects?
		What is the impact on ecosystem function?

Lesser		Are there disproportionate impacts?
weight		Is there evidence of cumulative, antagonistic, or synergistic effects?


					Quality-of-life

Greater 	Does the issue affect peace of mind, future generations or some segments of the 	weight		 population disproportionately?

Middle		Are there economic, aesthetic or recreational impacts from the threat?
weight

Lesser		Is exposure to the potential threat voluntary in nature or are there property
weight		impacts that are non-monetary?
		Does the potential threat impact sense of community or mobility?

To the extent that the PAG felt there was adequate information to support a ranking, each potential threat was ranked either A, B, or C. These labels are designed to convey relative rather than absolute levels of importance. For instance, the issues in G roup A are considered greater risks than those in Group B and Group C, and issues in Group C are considered lesser risks than those in Group A or Group B. However, placement in Group A does not mean the threat presents an urgent risk and placement in Grou p C does not mean the threat presents an insignificant risk.

DRAFT OVERALL RANKING

Once potential threats were ranked on the basis of human health, ecosystem, or quality-of-life risks, the PAG developed an integrated ranking using the framework discussed below. Since some potential threats ranked higher in one category than in others, the PAG had to make choices about the relative weight of human health, ecosystems, and quality-of-life impacts. The group turned to its public outreach information for guidance in how to make such "tradeoffs." In a geographically-balanced, statewide random telephone poll, 900 Ohioans said that they are most concerned about how environmental threats impact their health. Survey respondents gave the second greater weight to quality-of-life impacts and the third greatest weight to impacts to Ohio's ecosystems. The survey also demonstrated great concern for protection of future generations. The PAG's preliminary overall ranking was weighted based on the criteria outlined below.

Greater weight: 	High human health risk
			High ecosystem risk and either medium human health risk or high 					quality-of-life risk
			High quality-of-life risk and medium human health risk

Medium weight:		Medium human health risk
			High ecosystem risk
			High or medium quality-of-life risk

Lesser weight: 		Low human health risk
			Medium or low ecosystem risk
			Low quality-of-life risk

As with the separate rankings for human health, ecosystems, and quality-of-life, the overall criteria were used to place potential threats in Group A, Group B, or Group C. It is important to note that the PAG chose to use A, B, and C in the ranking proces s rather than high, medium, and low because the ranking process is intended to provide insight into relative degrees of risk, not absolute degrees of risk. Those issues in Group A represent greater risk than those in Group B and Group C, but not necessari ly the greatest risks in Ohio.

PUBLIC COMMENT ON THE DRAFT RANKING

On September 25, 1995, the PAG issued a draft ranking for public review and comment using the criteria outlined above. Approximately 50 comments were received and the PAG reconsidered the overall ranking criteria and the ranking of some specific issues on November 8, 1995. The group made two major changes prior to finalizing the ranking: 1) they re-evaluated the quality-of-life ranking and 2) they re-evaluated the weight of ecosystem effects in the overall ranking.

Quality-of-life Ranking. For the purpose of the draft list, the PAG separately ranked individual threats within the problem categories, but ranked the quality-of-life risks by problem category only. This provisional ranking was consistent with the Quality-of-life Technical Workgroup's ranking approach and there was insufficient time to rank each potential threat for quality-of-life risk and complete the draft overall ranking. The result of this decision was that all threats in a specific problem category were given the same quality-of-life rankings (in the draft ranking, yard waste received the same quality-of-life ranking as unregulated hazardous waste facilities). However, the PAG recognized that these rankings would probably require some adjustment before the rankings were finalized. PAG members reviewed and reranked the quality-of-life categorical rankings and the list below reflects the re-ranking.


The PAG's human health, ecosystem, and quality-of-life rankings are below:
(NR=not ranked at this time; NA=not applicable to this category).          
                  

                                 Human Health    Ecosystem  Quality-of-Life
                                     Rank           Rank        Rank
Abandoned industrial sites            A               B           A
Abandoned water wells                 B               C           B
Channelization of streams and rivers  C               A           B
Combustion by-products                B               C           A
Construction of dams                  C               B           B
Construction and demolition debris    NR              C           B
Disposal capacity                     C               C           A
Drinking water at the tap             A               NA          A
Exposure from consumer unawareness    A               A           A
Filling/diking/draining of wetlands   C               A           A
Floods                                C               C           A
Fugitive dust                         C               C           B
Harvesting natural resources          C               B           B
Illegal dumping                       NR              C           A
Inadequate infrastructure             A               B           B
Indoor air quality                    A               NA          B
Industrial/commercial wastewater 
	discharges  		      A               A           B
Litter                                NR              NR          A
Loss of wildlife habitat              B               A           A
Loss of species diversity             B               A           A
Mining activities                     B               A           B
Mobile source emissions               A               B           A
Municipal waste disposal facilities   A               B           A
Municipal wastewater discharges       C               B           A
Natural food toxins                   B               NA          C
Nonpoint source/agricultural runoff   B               A           B
Oil and gas exploration               B               B           B
Other natural hazards                 C               C           C
Overconsumption of natural resources  NR              NR          B
Ozone-depleting substances            A               A           A
Pesticide spraying                    B               B           A
Pesticide residues on foods           B               NA          C
Population change                     B               A           A
Recreation                            C               C           B
Regulated hazardous waste facilities  B               B           A
Sludge disposal                       C               C           B
Spills and accidental releases        C               B           B
Stationary air emissions (utilities, 
industrial &  commercial)             B               C           A
Storm water runoff from 
	non-agricultural areas        NR              A           B
Tire management                       B               C           B
Transportation of waste               C               C           B
Uncontrolled development              C               A           A
Underground storage tanks             B               C           B
Unregulated/abandoned hazardous 
	waste facilities       	      A               A           A
Yard waste                            C               C           C

Overall ranking. Many of the comments received on the draft list indicated a serious concern with the relative weight given to ecosystem issues. The PAG discussed the available public outreach data upon which the relative weighting of human health, ecosystems and quality-of-life was based. The group agreed that human health risk should remain the most important criterion. However, given the public's significant concern with threats to future generations and long term impacts of ecosystem degradation, the PAG revised the overall criteria to give ecosystem effects equal weight with quality-of-life effects. The group also revised the ranking group breakdowns from three major groups to seven smaller groups. The final ranking follows and the seven groupings are identifed below. THE ISSUES IN EACH GROUP ARE ALPHABETIZED--NOT RANKED.

RELATIVE RISK      GROUPING

HIGHER         	 ISSUES PLACED IN HUMAN HEALTH GROUP A

         	 ISSUES PLACED IN BOTH ECOSYSTEM GROUP A AND QUALITY-OF-LIFE
			GROUP A

          	 ISSUES PLACED IN BOTH HUMAN HEALTH GROUP B AND EITHER ECOSYSTEM
			GROUP A OR QUALITY-OF-LIFE GROUP A

          	 ISSUES PLACED IN HUMAN HEALTH GROUP B

          	 ISSUES PLACED IN EITHER ECOSYSTEM GROUP A OR QUALITY-OF-LIFE
			GROUP A

          	 ISSUES PLACED IN EITHER ECOSYSTEM GROUP B OR QUALITY-OF-LIFE
			GROUP B

LOWER            ISSUES PLACED IN HUMAN HEALTH GROUP C



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