The Vermont Agency of Natural Resources
Air Quality


Air quality affects nearly every aspect of life in Vermont. The fate of our acid sensitive takes and streams, the growth and productivity of our forests and agricultural crops, the visual clarity of our scenic mountain vistas, the accumulation of toxic metals in fish and wildlife, and Vermonters' health and welfare are all influenced, by the levels of pollution present in our air.

Vermont is one of the most rural states in the nation, and its air quality is generally superior to more densely populated, industrialized regions. While Vermonters rarely see thick, noxious plumes belching from industrial smokestacks, the state's air quality is far from pristine. Local emissions from small sources like woodstoves, increasing automobile and truck traffic, and pollutants migrating into the state from upwind regions frequently combine to produce visible air pollution in Vermont, as well as less visible but potentially more significant environmental problems.

RESPONSE AND PROGRESS

Twenty-five years ago, air pollution control efforts in Vermont and the nation were just getting underway. The passage of the I 970 federal Clean Air Act, and the formation that same year of the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency and the Vermont Air Pollution Control Program represented the first significant attempts to measure the quality of our air and to control air pollution sources. The earliest efforts in Vermont and the nation focused upon the largest, most obvious sources of pollution. Open burning dumps spewed tons of carbon monoxide, particulate matter, and toxic metals into Vermont's air.

Industrial combustion sources burned coal or high sulfur oil with no controls on fly ash or sulfur dioxide emissions. automobiles burned leaded gasoline causing high concentrations of lead in the air, and contributed to elevated lead blood levels in children.

Over time, emissions from these large obvious sources have been substantially reduced or eliminated. Stringent controls on stationary sources and the elimination of lead from gasoline have produced dramatic reductions in airborne lead levels. Vermont's air lead levels have declined by more than 99% from the mid 1970s, and are currently well below federal air standards (Fig. 1). Improvements in combustion efficiency at stationary sources and reductions in federal automotive emission standards have cut carbon monoxide (CO) levels in Vermont by more than 50% since the mid-70s (Fig. 1).

Vermont sulphur dioxide (SO2) levels have declined by about 4o% since the 1970S due to effective emission controls and the use of low sulfur fuels at stationary sources (Fig. 1). While Vermont atmospheric air levels of SO2 are well below federal standards, sulfur emissions transported from upwind states continue to threaten Vermont's environment and quality of life. Acid rain has acidified some of our sensitive high elevation lakes and streams, and sulfate (SOx) haze frequently obscures our scenic Green Mountain vistas. National SOx emissions have been reduced by 27% between 1970 and 1992, and further declines are expected due to acid rain control provisions in the 1990 Clean Air Amendments.

PROBLEMS REMAIN

Despite growth in population, automotive traffic, energy consumption and industrial productivity, the trends in concentrations of most air pollutants in Vermont have been downward. Overall, Vermont emissions are currently the lowest in the nation. On a per capita basis, however, the state ranks only about average, emitting slightly more than 1200 pounds of volatile organic compounds (VOCs), nitrogen oxides (NOx), and carbon monoxide (CO) per person in 1992 . . . a rate higher than many of our neighboring states.

As large stationary sources are controlled, our emissions are less heavily influenced by large industries, and increasingly dominated by individual human activities such as heating our homes and driving our cars. Automotive traffic in Vermont has more than doubled since 1970, and the per capita mileage traveled on Vermont highways is higher than all but six other states. Today, motor vehicles account for roughly 60% of statewide emissions of VOCs and CO and nearly 80% of NOx emissions.

While levels of many air pollutants in Vermont have declined significantly in recent years, concentrations of ground level ozone have remained virtually unchanged since the 1970S. Formed from reactions of NOx and VOCs in the presence of sunlight, ground level ozone poses a threat to human health and the environment, including damage to sensitive trees like white ash and black cherry. Vermont’s ozone levels come close to exceeding federal standards each summer, and frequently exceed levels considered unhealthy in other developed countries (Fig- 2).

Over the past 25 years, improved automotive emission standards have produced substantial reductions in the VOC and NOx emissions from the average car on Vermont's highways. Unfortunately, these gains have been offset by increased vehicle use (Fig- 3). As a result, total motor vehicle emissions of VOCs have declined only slightly over the past two decades and, in the case of NOx, total emissions have actually increased (Fig. 4) - If current growth rates of vehicle traffic continue into the future, statewide emissions of both NOx and VOCs will start to increase over the next few years despite further reductions in automotive emission standards for new cars (Fig. 4). Growth in motor vehicle emissions can be offset in the short term by the implementation of a motor vehicle inspection and maintenance program.

The average car emits about half a ton of air pollutants each year. A car that is poorly maintained or malfunctioning (so-called "super emitters") may emit more than ten times this amount. While these cars make up less than 10% of all automobiles, they account for nearly 50% of total automotive VOC emissions. I/M would reduce VOC and CO emissions by about 33% and NOx emissions by about 15%. By insuring that control devices required on cars are working properly, an I/M program would also result in fuel savings that often offset the cost of the repair.

While projected increases in NOx and hydrocarbon emissions raise serious concerns about current and future ozone concentrations in Vermont, increasing automotive emissions of toxic air pollutants may pose an even greater threat to Vermonters. Automotive and auto-related emissions (i.e. gasoline evaporation and refueling) dominate our statewide emissions of certain cancer-causing pollutants like benzene and I-3 butadiene. In Chittenden County alone, motor vehicles are estimated to account for nearly 200,000 pounds of benzene and 35,000 pounds Of 1-3 butadiene each year. Although the state has only recently initiated ambient air measurement of these toxic contaminants, the first six months of data suggest that Vermont's annual Hazard Ambient Air Standards for benzene and i-3 butadiene are exceeded by a factor of 2 in small towns like Waterbury, and by nearly a factor of 10 in more densely populated urban centers like Burlington.

CHALLENGES

In the near term, federal, regional, and state regulatory programs can make an important contribution to improving the quality of Vermont’s air. In the longterm, however, we may need to reconsider and change our increasing dependence upon the single passenger, gasoline-powered motor vehicle. Ultimately, our future air quality will depend upon critical choices made by individual Vermonters.

Some steps we can take to improve Vermont’s air quality include:



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